Murmuration
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Murmuration
Final zone distribution
44 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
59 decks
-
2
Choco, Seeker of Paradise
35 decks
-
3
Kastral, the Windcrested
23 decks
-
4
Derevi, Empyrial Tactician
4 decks
-
5
Duskana, the Rage Mother
3 decks
-
6
Akim, the Soaring Wind
2 decks
-
7
Kangee, Sky Warden
2 decks
-
8
Soraya the Falconer
2 decks
-
9
Arthur, Marigold Knight
1 decks
-
10
Denzilore Fatehold
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
247 brought · 136 playersOnce cast, 88% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=18) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=141).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=15).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +11.5pp; 95% confidence interval +0.0pp to +22.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.