Live Play Data

Mutable Explorer

· Creature — Shapeshifter · Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

637

Decks Running

290

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

67%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=97

11%

13%

16%

14%

35%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 27% (13 / 97 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

637 brought · 266 players

Brought to game

637

Ever drawn

144

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -10.3pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=87) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=417).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=43).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -10.3pp to +8.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

170 instances

4.1%

Library

25.3%

Battlefield

40.6%

Graveyard

7.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Mutable Explorer

Creature — Shapeshifter

Changeling (This card is every creature type.) When this creature enters, create a tapped Mutavault token. (It's a land with " {T}

: Add

" and "

: This token becomes a 2/2 creature with all creature types until end of turn. It's still a land.")

1 / 1

Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL) · Rare · Illustrated by Wayne Reynolds

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.