Live Play Data

Mystic Confluence

· Instant · Commander Masters (CMM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

614

Decks Running

321

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=100

11%

64%

T6-9

21%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 19

On curve 15% (11 / 100 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

614 brought · 295 players

Brought to game

614

Ever drawn

169

Reached battlefield

100

Still on board at game end

≥ +1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=94) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=371).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=66).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.4pp; 95% confidence interval +1.2pp to +19.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

196 instances

2.0%

Library

3.1%

Battlefield

57.7%

Graveyard

7.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Galadriel, Elven-Queen 21 decks
2 Riku of Many Paths 17 decks
3 Eluge, the Shoreless Sea 15 decks
4 Quandrix, the Proof 15 decks
5 Gandalf, Party Guest 12 decks
6 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 9 decks
7 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 9 decks
8 Anhelo, the Painter 8 decks
9 Baral, Chief of Compliance 7 decks
10 Cosmic Spider-Man 7 decks

Card text

Mystic Confluence

Instant

Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Counter target spell unless its controller pays {3}

. • Return target creature to its owner's hand. • Draw a card.

Commander Masters (CMM) · Rare · Illustrated by Kieran Yanner

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.