Live Play Data

Mystic Confluence

· Instant · Commander Masters (CMM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1065

Decks Running

515

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=167

11%

64%

T6-9

21%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 19

On curve 15% (18 / 167 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

1065 brought · 470 players

Brought to game

1065

Ever drawn

284

Reached battlefield

167

Still on board at game end

≥ +5.7pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=158) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=660).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=113).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.1pp; 95% confidence interval +5.7pp to +20.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

328 instances

2.1%

Library

3.0%

Battlefield

56.4%

Graveyard

7.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Eluge, the Shoreless Sea 31 decks
2 Galadriel, Elven-Queen 29 decks
3 Riku of Many Paths 23 decks
4 Quandrix, the Proof 21 decks
5 Cosmic Spider-Man 16 decks
6 Gandalf, Party Guest 14 decks
7 Hinata, Dawn-Crowned 14 decks
8 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 13 decks
9 Baral, Chief of Compliance 12 decks
10 The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell 12 decks

Card text

Mystic Confluence

Instant

Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Counter target spell unless its controller pays {3}

. • Return target creature to its owner's hand. • Draw a card.

Commander Masters (CMM) · Rare · Illustrated by Kieran Yanner

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.