Live Play Data

Nadir Kraken

· Creature — Kraken · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

494

Decks Running

265

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

55%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=85

15%

12%

49%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 16% (13 / 85 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

494 brought · 239 players

Brought to game

494

Ever drawn

155

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 49% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=78) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=280).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=61).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.8pp; 95% confidence interval +1.2pp to +22.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

162 instances

4.9%

Library

25.9%

Battlefield

34.0%

Graveyard

6.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Marneus Calgar 47 decks
2 Yennett, Cryptic Sovereign 19 decks
3 Yusri, Fortune's Flame 14 decks
4 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 13 decks
5 Arixmethes, Slumbering Isle 12 decks
6 Kiora, Sovereign of the Deep 11 decks
7 The Watcher in the Water 11 decks
8 Runo Stromkirk // Krothuss, Lord of the Deep 8 decks
9 Kenessos, Priest of Thassa 6 decks
10 Vnwxt, Verbose Host 6 decks

Card text

Nadir Kraken

Creature — Kraken

Whenever you draw a card, you may pay {1}

. If you do, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature and create a 1/1 blue Tentacle creature token.

2 / 3

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Dan Murayama Scott

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.