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Part of March of the Machine
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Creature — Kraken
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Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Live Play Data
Nadir Kraken
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
352
Decks Running
193
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
54%
Format
First-cast turn
n=61
0%
T1
2%
T2
16%
T3
15%
T4
13%
T5
49%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median
6
P25
4
· P75
7
· max
11
On curve
18%
(10 / 61 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
24%
The "good card" funnel
352 brought · 179 playersBrought to game
352
Ever drawn
114
Reached battlefield
61
Still on board at game end
29
Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -4.9pp
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=57) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=200).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=47).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.4pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +19.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
119 instances3.4%
Library
24.4%
Battlefield
35.3%
Graveyard
8.4%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Marneus Calgar
39 decks
-
2
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
11 decks
-
3
Yusri, Fortune's Flame
10 decks
-
4
Kiora, Sovereign of the Deep
9 decks
-
5
The Watcher in the Water
9 decks
-
6
Arixmethes, Slumbering Isle
8 decks
-
7
Runo Stromkirk // Krothuss, Lord of the Deep
8 decks
-
8
Kenessos, Priest of Thassa
6 decks
-
9
Marvo, Deep Operative
4 decks
-
10
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
4 decks
Card text
Nadir Kraken
Creature — Kraken
Whenever you draw a card, you may pay
. If you do, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature and create a 1/1 blue Tentacle creature token.
2 / 3
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Dan Murayama Scott
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.