Commander

The Watcher in the Water

Global commander stats {U} All Blue commanders
Win Rate 34%
178 Wins
338 Losses
Overview

Summary

The Watcher in the Water is a Magic: The Gathering commander tracked across 520 recorded Playgroup games, winning 34% of them (178–338) at an Elo of 1,609, ranking #509 globally.

Wins average 10 turns, with 8 damage dealt and 0.59 player kills per game on average.

Last full refresh
Sources Scryfall · EDHREC · JSON API

Frequently Asked

What is The Watcher in the Water's win rate?
The Watcher in the Water has a 34% win rate across 520 recorded Playgroup games (178 wins, 338 losses).
How long do winning games with The Watcher in the Water take?
Wins with The Watcher in the Water take on average 10 turns. Total tracked play time: 5 days.
How many decks use The Watcher in the Water?
226 decks list The Watcher in the Water as their commander on Playgroup, of which 145 have played at least one recorded game.
Global rank
509
Wins by turn (avg.)
10
Elo rating
1609
Trend

Global Elo trend

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Trend

Commander popularity trend

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Averages

Misc. stats

Average damage per game 8
Average commander damage per game 7
Average poison counters given per game 1
Average kills per game 0.59
Average turn length 2 minutes
No. decks for this commander 226
No. decks with at least one game for this commander 145
No. games played with this commander 520
Total hours played 5 days
Community

Top 5 public decks

Rank Elo User Games Wins
1 1581 Legambo 4 3
2 1548 Tragicmonkey 13 6
3 1536 Lasse-Gøran Vagle Jensen 1 1
4 1530 Adoom 5 3
5 1500 Bepps 1 0
Outcomes

How does this commander win?

When The Watcher in the Water wins, 57.69% of wins come via combat across tracked games with a recorded win condition.

Combat
57.69%
Alternative
22.31%
Non Combat Damage
10.0%
Combo
6.15%
Commander Damage
2.31%
Mill
1.54%
Avg win turn 9.8 based on 178 wins with recorded turn counts
Measured

Staples that win games for The Watcher in the Water

Cards that raise this deck's measured win rate the most, compared with The Watcher in the Water decks that leave them out.

+1.6 pp
Top card: Perilous Research
# Card Lift
1
Perilous Research
Perilous Research 50 games · Signature build
+1.6 pp

Measured win-rate lift against decks on the same commander without the card, ranked by the 95% lower bound. How this is measured

Table position

Does seating order matter?

The Watcher in the Water wins 41.78% of games from position 1 and 28.57% from position 5 across tracked games.

1
Seat 1
41.78% n=146
2
Seat 2
32.45% n=151
3
Seat 3
30.65% n=124
4
Seat 4
29.87% n=77
5
Seat 5
28.57% n=14
Opening hands

Do mulligans hurt this commander?

Across tracked games, The Watcher in the Water wins 32.99% after 0 mulligans and 50.0% after 3 mulligans.

0
0 mulligans
32.99% n=197
1
1 mulligan
35.29% n=85
2
2 mulligans
28.57% n=28
3
3 mulligans
50.0% n=10
Player reports

How do players rate games with this commander?

Pilot rating

Pilots rate their own games with The Watcher in the Water 3.79/5 on average, across 380 self-reports.

3.79 / 5
🧂

Opponent salt

When The Watcher in the Water wins, opponents flag the game as salty 40.3% of the time across 181 tracked wins.

40.3 \%
Head to head

Best and worst matchups

Opposing commanders with at least ten tracked games against The Watcher in the Water. Pairs with fewer than 25 games are shown in italics; treat those as suggestive, not statistical.

Top 5 best matchups

Zurgo Stormrender commander art
46.15%
The Ur-Dragon commander art
The Ur-Dragon 12 games
41.67%
Lathril, Blade of the Elves commander art
38.46%

Top 5 worst matchups

Tidus, Yuna's Guardian commander art
30.0%
Ms. Bumbleflower commander art
Ms. Bumbleflower 20 games
30.0%
Lathril, Blade of the Elves commander art
38.46%