Live Play Data

Nasty End

· Instant · The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

398

Decks Running

230

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=46

11%

65%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 6 · P75 7 · max 16

On curve 2% (1 / 46 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

398 brought · 216 players

Brought to game

398

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -18.5pp

Players who cast this card win 17% of the time (n=41) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=267).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=32).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -6.6pp; 95% confidence interval -18.5pp to +5.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

91 instances

3.3%

Library

65.9%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

19.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Child of Alara 16 decks
2 Sauron, the Dark Lord 15 decks
3 Edea, Possessed Sorceress 12 decks
4 Sméagol, Helpful Guide 12 decks
5 The Great Goblin 9 decks
6 Henzie "Toolbox" Torre 8 decks
7 Black Cat, Cunning Thief 5 decks
8 Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel 5 decks
9 Avacyn, Angel of Horror 4 decks
10 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 4 decks

Card text

Nasty End

Instant

As an additional cost to cast this spell, sacrifice a creature. Draw two cards. If the sacrificed creature was legendary, draw three cards instead.

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth (LTR) · Common · Illustrated by Valera Lutfullina

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.