Live Play Data

Nesting Dovehawk

· Creature — Bird · March of the Machine Commander (MOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

317

Decks Running

149

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=43

12%

19%

49%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 23% (5 / 43 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 24%

The "good card" funnel

317 brought · 137 players

Brought to game

317

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -3.7pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=40) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=214).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=23).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.0pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +25.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

76 instances

31.6%

Battlefield

30.3%

Graveyard

10.5%

Exile

27.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Nesting Dovehawk

Creature — Bird

Flying At the beginning of combat on your turn, populate. (Create a token that's a copy of a creature token you control.) Whenever a creature token you control enters, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature.

2 / 2

March of the Machine Commander (MOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Alessandra Pisano

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.