Nettlecyst
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Nettlecyst
Final zone distribution
147 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sai, Master Thopterist
48 decks
-
2
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
28 decks
-
3
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
24 decks
-
4
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
16 decks
-
5
Arna Kennerüd, Skycaptain
13 decks
-
6
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
9 decks
- 7 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 9 decks
-
8
Alela, Artful Provocateur
7 decks
-
9
Brimaz, Blight of Oreskos
7 decks
-
10
Chiss-Goria, Forge Tyrant
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
787 brought · 364 playersOnce cast, 82% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=73) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=468).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=31).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +8.0pp; 95% confidence interval +2.2pp to +13.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.