Nomad Outpost
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Nomad Outpost
Final zone distribution
434 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Edgar Markov
111 decks
-
2
Terra, Herald of Hope
96 decks
-
3
Kaalia of the Vast
76 decks
-
4
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
68 decks
-
5
Mr. House, President and CEO
65 decks
-
6
The Ur-Dragon
54 decks
-
7
Queen Marchesa
43 decks
-
8
Isshin, Two Heavens as One
37 decks
-
9
Zurgo Stormrender
30 decks
-
10
Olivia, Opulent Outlaw
24 decks
The "good card" funnel
1970 brought · 818 playersOnce cast, 96% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=270) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1117).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=41).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.2pp; 95% confidence interval -1.1pp to +5.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.