Live Play Data

Ominous Seas

· Enchantment · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1098

Decks Running

509

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

61%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=225

16%

14%

30%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 23% (37 / 225 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 46%

The "good card" funnel

1098 brought · 451 players

Brought to game

1098

Ever drawn

371

Reached battlefield

225

Still on board at game end

161

Once cast, 72% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.2pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=206) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=608).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=137).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.0pp; 95% confidence interval +4.2pp to +17.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

405 instances

2.2%

Library

39.8%

Battlefield

25.4%

Graveyard

6.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vnwxt, Verbose Host 37 decks
2 Whtz, the Bibliophile 25 decks
3 Kwain, Itinerant Meddler 24 decks
4 Ms. Bumbleflower 21 decks
5 Gavi, Nest Warden 16 decks
6 The Watcher in the Water 15 decks
7 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 14 decks
8 Marneus Calgar 13 decks
9 Kami of the Crescent Moon 12 decks
10 Kiora, Sovereign of the Deep 12 decks

Card text

Ominous Seas

Enchantment

Whenever you draw a card, put a foreshadow counter on this enchantment. Remove eight foreshadow counters from this enchantment: Create an 8/8 blue Kraken creature token. Cycling {2}

(

, Discard this card: Draw a card.)

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Vincent Proce

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.