Ominous Seas
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Ominous Seas
Final zone distribution
111 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
14 decks
-
2
Whtz, the Bibliophile
9 decks
-
3
Kiora, Sovereign of the Deep
8 decks
-
4
Gavi, Nest Warden
7 decks
-
5
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
6 decks
-
6
Bard, King of Dale
6 decks
-
7
Arixmethes, Slumbering Isle
5 decks
-
8
Flubs, the Fool
5 decks
-
9
Captain Howler, Sea Scourge
4 decks
-
10
King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope Enduring
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
350 brought · 198 playersOnce cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 18% of the time (n=49) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=186).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=36).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.1pp; 95% confidence interval -7.5pp to +7.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.