collections_bookmark
Part of Modern Horizons 3
·
Creature — Human Shaman
·
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
Card Preview
Ophiomancer
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
403
Decks Running
214
In Decks
1631
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
119 instances1.7%
Library
31.1%
Battlefield
36.1%
Graveyard
12.6%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Dina, Essence Brewer
54 decks
-
2
Silverquill, the Disputant
14 decks
-
3
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel
12 decks
-
4
Zurgo Stormrender
12 decks
-
5
Teysa Karlov
9 decks
-
6
Elas il-Kor, Sadistic Pilgrim
5 decks
-
7
Braids, Arisen Nightmare
4 decks
-
8
Elenda, the Dusk Rose
4 decks
-
9
The Serpent Society
4 decks
-
10
Vincent Valentine // Galian Beast
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
409 brought · 194 playersBrought to game
409
Ever drawn
108
Reached battlefield
84
Still on board at game end
37
Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -11.0pp
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=84) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=272).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=23) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -0.9pp; 95% confidence interval -11.0pp to +9.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=84
2%
T1
6%
T2
21%
T3
15%
T4
12%
T5
36%
T6-9
7%
T10+
Median
5.0
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
12
On curve
30%
(18 / 84 cast on T3)
Cast same turn as drawn
30%
84 of 100 times cast
84%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.