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Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
·
Instant
·
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
Card Preview
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Times Brought
695
Decks Running
364
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
181 instances2.8%
Library
0.6%
Battlefield
75.1%
Graveyard
7.7%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
33 decks
-
2
Shiko and Narset, Unified
17 decks
-
3
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
12 decks
-
4
Prismari, the Inspiration
11 decks
-
5
Lord of the Nazgûl
9 decks
-
6
Tegwyll, Duke of Splendor
8 decks
-
7
Bria, Riptide Rogue
7 decks
-
8
Galadriel, Elven-Queen
7 decks
-
9
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
7 decks
-
10
Stella Lee, Wild Card
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
702 brought · 317 playersBrought to game
702
Ever drawn
172
Reached battlefield
140
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -5.4pp
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=118) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=410).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=29) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.4pp to +4.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=140
16%
T1
9%
T2
9%
T3
13%
T4
14%
T5
32%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median
5.0
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
21
On curve
16%
(22 / 140 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
53%
895 of 300 tracked games
99%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.