Live Play Data

Pact of Negation

· Instant · Time Spiral Remastered (TSR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2024

Decks Running

887

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=286

15%

16%

50%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 16

Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

2024 brought · 658 players

Brought to game

2024

Ever drawn

496

Reached battlefield

286

Still on board at game end

≥ +5.5pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=262) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1184).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=190).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.4pp; 95% confidence interval +5.5pp to +17.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

577 instances

6.1%

Library

7.1%

Battlefield

46.1%

Graveyard

14.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 52 decks
2 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 40 decks
3 Urza, Lord High Artificer 31 decks
4 Sauron, the Dark Lord 26 decks
5 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 23 decks
6 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 23 decks
7 Tymna the Weaver 22 decks
8 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 19 decks
9 Nekusar, the Mindrazer 15 decks
10 Marneus Calgar 14 decks

Card text

Pact of Negation

Instant

Counter target spell. At the beginning of your next upkeep, pay {3}

. If you don't, you lose the game.

Time Spiral Remastered (TSR) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Chan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.