Live Play Data

Pact of Negation

· Instant · Time Spiral Remastered (TSR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

3562

Decks Running

1423

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

56%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=488

15%

14%

50%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 19

Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

3562 brought · 1015 players

Brought to game

3562

Ever drawn

872

Reached battlefield

488

Still on board at game end

≥ +6.6pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=465) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=2225).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 43% (n=359).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.1pp; 95% confidence interval +6.6pp to +15.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1027 instances

5.3%

Library

8.1%

Battlefield

44.8%

Graveyard

13.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 74 decks
2 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 70 decks
3 Urza, Lord High Artificer 54 decks
4 Sauron, the Dark Lord 41 decks
5 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 36 decks
6 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 32 decks
7 Tymna the Weaver 29 decks
8 Thrasios, Triton Hero 28 decks
9 Sisay, Weatherlight Captain 26 decks
10 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 24 decks

Card text

Pact of Negation

Instant

Counter target spell. At the beginning of your next upkeep, pay {3}

. If you don't, you lose the game.

Time Spiral Remastered (TSR) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Chan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 780,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.