Live Play Data

Pact of Negation

· Instant · Time Spiral Remastered (TSR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

738

Decks Running

341

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=109

14%

18%

53%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11

Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

738 brought · 284 players

Brought to game

738

Ever drawn

187

Reached battlefield

109

Still on board at game end

≥ +2.2pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=95) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=423).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 47% (n=73).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.1pp; 95% confidence interval +2.2pp to +22.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

212 instances

6.6%

Library

6.6%

Battlefield

45.8%

Graveyard

14.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy 14 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 14 decks
3 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 11 decks
4 Sauron, the Dark Lord 11 decks
5 Urza, Lord High Artificer 11 decks
6 Tymna the Weaver 10 decks
7 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 9 decks
8 Grand Arbiter Augustin IV 6 decks
9 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 6 decks
10 Krark, the Thumbless 6 decks

Card text

Pact of Negation

Instant

Counter target spell. At the beginning of your next upkeep, pay {3}

. If you don't, you lose the game.

Time Spiral Remastered (TSR) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Chan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.