Live Play Data

Pact of the Serpent

· Sorcery · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

703

Decks Running

329

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

52%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=74

16%

50%

T6-9

27%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 17

On curve 1% (0 / 74 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 24%

The "good card" funnel

705 brought · 315 players

Brought to game

705

Ever drawn

141

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -9.0pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=69) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=486).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 13% (n=60).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.8pp; 95% confidence interval -9.0pp to +10.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

156 instances

3.8%

Library

3.8%

Battlefield

51.9%

Graveyard

7.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Edgar Markov 69 decks
2 Lathril, Blade of the Elves 50 decks
3 Clavileño, First of the Blessed 27 decks
4 Rat King, Verminister 13 decks
5 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 11 decks
6 Rendmaw, Creaking Nest 10 decks
7 Aphelia, Viper Whisperer 8 decks
8 Strefan, Maurer Progenitor 8 decks
9 Marrow-Gnawer 6 decks
10 Uugguu, the Omniplasm 6 decks

Card text

Pact of the Serpent

Sorcery

Choose a creature type. Target player draws X cards and loses X life, where X is the number of creatures they control of the chosen type.

The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander (LCC) · Rare · Illustrated by Donato Giancola

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.