Live Play Data

Pinecone Strike

· Instant · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

153

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=21

19%

24%

10%

48%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 9

On curve 0% (0 / 21 cast on T2)

The "good card" funnel

153 brought · 57 players

Brought to game

153

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -13.4pp

Players who cast this card win 17% of the time (n=19) , vs 14% when it never left the library (n=98).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.3pp; 95% confidence interval -13.4pp to +20.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

35 instances

2.9%

Library

71.4%

Graveyard

11.4%

Exile

14.3%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Great Goblin 8 decks
2 Thorin, King of Durin's Folk 7 decks
3 Smaug the Impenetrable 6 decks
4 Dáin of the Ancient Halls 4 decks
5 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 3 decks
6 Riku of Many Paths 3 decks
7 Alania, Divergent Storm 2 decks
8 Krenko, Tin Street Kingpin 2 decks
9 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 2 decks
10 Smaug the Magnificent 2 decks

Card text

Pinecone Strike

Instant

Choose one or both — • Pinecone Strike deals 3 damage to target creature. If that creature would die this turn, exile it instead. • Destroy target artifact token.

The Hobbit (HOB) · Common · Illustrated by Javier Charro

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.