Live Play Data

Raffine, Scheming Seer

· Legendary Creature — Sphinx Demon · Streets of New Capenna (SNC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

311

Decks Running

127

Median Cast Turn

4.0

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=84

11%

27%

24%

17%

20%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 3 · P75 5 · max 10

On curve 38% (23 / 84 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

311 brought · 124 players

Brought to game

311

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.5pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=56) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=195).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.7pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +26.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

97 instances

29.9%

Battlefield

41.2%

Graveyard

4.1%

Exile

24.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Raffine, Scheming Seer

Legendary Creature — Sphinx Demon

Flying, ward {1}

Whenever you attack, target attacking creature connives X, where X is the number of attacking creatures. (Draw X cards, then discard X cards. Put a +1/+1 counter on that creature for each nonland card discarded this way.)

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Streets of New Capenna (SNC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Johannes Voss

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.