Live Play Data

Rakdos, Patron of Chaos

· Legendary Creature — Demon · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

179

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

5.5

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=24

17%

25%

38%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 5.5 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 58% (2 / 24 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

179 brought · 86 players

Brought to game

179

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -19.0pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=23) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=122).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 9% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -19.0pp to +16.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

47 instances

6.4%

Library

29.8%

Battlefield

34.0%

Graveyard

8.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kaalia of the Vast 25 decks
2 Be'lakor, the Dark Master 18 decks
3 Rakdos, Lord of Riots 10 decks
4 Raphael, Fiendish Savior 7 decks
5 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 4 decks
6 The Infamous Cruelclaw 3 decks
7 The Lord of Pain 3 decks
8 Deadpool, Trading Card 2 decks
9 Nicol Bolas, the Ravager // Nicol Bolas, the Arisen 2 decks
10 Ozai, the Phoenix King 2 decks

Card text

Rakdos, Patron of Chaos

Legendary Creature — Demon

Flying, trample At the beginning of your end step, target opponent may sacrifice two nonland, nontoken permanents of their choice. If they don't, you draw two cards.

6 / 6

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Mythic · Illustrated by Joshua Raphael

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.