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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
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#4 in Rakdos Commander Staples
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Legendary Creature — Demon
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Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
Live Play Data
Rakdos, Patron of Chaos
2%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
595
Decks Running
237
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
65%
Format
First-cast turn
n=85
1%
T1
0%
T2
4%
T3
12%
T4
18%
T5
52%
T6-9
14%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
8
· max
16
On curve
53%
(16 / 85 cast on T6)
Cast same turn as drawn
26%
The "good card" funnel
595 brought · 219 playersBrought to game
595
Ever drawn
124
Reached battlefield
81
Still on board at game end
44
Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -11.3pp
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=70) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=404).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=37).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.9pp; 95% confidence interval -11.3pp to +9.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
137 instances2.2%
Library
32.1%
Battlefield
31.4%
Graveyard
10.2%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Kaalia of the Vast
82 decks
-
2
Be'lakor, the Dark Master
41 decks
-
3
Rakdos, Lord of Riots
21 decks
-
4
Raphael, Fiendish Savior
18 decks
-
5
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
10 decks
-
6
The Infamous Cruelclaw
8 decks
-
7
Deadpool, Trading Card
5 decks
-
8
Akul the Unrepentant
3 decks
-
9
Mogis, God of Slaughter
3 decks
-
10
Ozai, the Phoenix King
3 decks
Card text
Rakdos, Patron of Chaos
Legendary Creature — Demon
Flying, trample
At the beginning of your end step, target opponent may sacrifice two nonland, nontoken permanents of their choice. If they don't, you draw two cards.
6 / 6
Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
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Mythic
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Illustrated by Joshua Raphael
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.