Rakdos Signet
20% of tracked Black-Red Commander decks run Rakdos Signet, and 75% of drawn copies reach the battlefield, with a median first cast on turn 4.0.
Rakdos Signet is the go-to two-mana rock for any Commander deck running Black and Red. Across 615 tracked multiplayer games on Playgroup Live, it appears in 400 of 1980 distinct decks, good for an inclusion rate of 20% among all tracked builds in those colors.
The draw-to-play rate of 75% tells a clear story: when players find this card, they cast it. The median first cast lands on turn 4.0, though the distribution is front-loaded, with a meaningful cluster of casts on turns 1 and 2, suggesting many copies come down from opening hands or early draws. The data here is well-spread, with 337 distinct players contributing to the sample and no single contributor accounting for more than about 2% of instances.
As a two-mana mana rock that taps for two colored mana, Rakdos Signet fills a structural role in Commander: it accelerates toward a three-mana commander on turn two and shores up Black-Red's historically thin ramp suite. That utility explains its broad adoption across aggressive, midrange, and combo strategies alike.
- 20% of tracked Commander decks include Rakdos Signet
- 75% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
- T4.0 median first-cast turn across tracked games
- 79% battlefield stickiness once cast
- 337 distinct players have brought this card to a tracked game
- 40% of casts land exactly on curve (turn 2 for a 2-mana card)
First-cast turn
n=118The "good card" funnel
657 brought · 337 playersOf 657 Rakdos Signets brought to tracked games, 158 were drawn, 118 of those were cast, and 79% of resolved copies remained on the battlefield through the end of the game.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=116) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=453).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=38) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -8.6pp to +7.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
173 instancesThe overwhelming majority of Rakdos Signets never leave the library in a given game, a direct consequence of 100-card singleton variance rather than any weakness in the card itself.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
37 decks
-
2
Kaalia of the Vast
22 decks
-
3
Sauron, the Dark Lord
16 decks
-
4
Admiral Brass, Unsinkable
11 decks
-
5
Fire Lord Azula
11 decks
-
6
Lynde, Cheerful Tormentor
11 decks
-
7
Deadpool, Trading Card
10 decks
-
8
Kardur, Doomscourge
10 decks
-
9
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
10 decks
-
10
Edgar Markov
9 decks
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls leads with 37 decks, but the list spans ten distinct commanders across Rakdos and Grixis builds, signaling broad format adoption rather than concentration in one archetype.