Rapacious Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Rapacious Dragon
Final zone distribution
140 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
119 decks
-
2
Atarka, World Render
51 decks
-
3
Ureni of the Unwritten
46 decks
-
4
Smaug the Magnificent
15 decks
-
5
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
14 decks
-
6
Eshki, Temur's Roar
13 decks
-
7
Ganax, Astral Hunter
9 decks
-
8
Rivaz of the Claw
6 decks
-
9
The Ur-Dragon
6 decks
-
10
Korvold, Fae-Cursed King
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
725 brought · 325 playersOnce cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=70) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=403).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.7pp; 95% confidence interval +3.7pp to +15.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.