Live Play Data

Red Elemental Blast

· Instant · Masters 25 (A25)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

623

Decks Running

344

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

49%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=69

10%

14%

20%

46%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 10

On curve 1% (1 / 69 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 34%

The "good card" funnel

623 brought · 290 players

Brought to game

623

Ever drawn

141

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=63) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=391).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=62).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.9pp; 95% confidence interval -0.4pp to +22.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

161 instances

3.7%

Library

3.7%

Battlefield

54.0%

Graveyard

9.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 23 decks
2 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 17 decks
3 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 10 decks
4 Magda, Brazen Outlaw 9 decks
5 Vivi Ornitier 8 decks
6 Edgar Markov 7 decks
7 Kratos, God of War 7 decks
8 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 7 decks
9 Tymna the Weaver 7 decks
10 Jaws, Relentless Predator 6 decks

Card text

Red Elemental Blast

Instant

Choose one — • Counter target blue spell. • Destroy target blue permanent.

Masters 25 (A25) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Izzy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.