Live Play Data

Red Elemental Blast

· Instant · Masters 25 (A25)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2591

Decks Running

1133

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

48%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=255

15%

16%

15%

40%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 3% (8 / 255 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

2591 brought · 850 players

Brought to game

2591

Ever drawn

533

Reached battlefield

255

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.8pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=233) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1668).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=250).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +7.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

613 instances

3.9%

Library

2.8%

Battlefield

49.1%

Graveyard

12.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 80 decks
2 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 41 decks
3 Vivi Ornitier 38 decks
4 Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers 33 decks
5 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 27 decks
6 Magda, Brazen Outlaw 25 decks
7 Kaalia of the Vast 21 decks
8 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 21 decks
9 Kratos, God of War 21 decks
10 Tymna the Weaver 20 decks

Card text

Red Elemental Blast

Instant

Choose one — • Counter target blue spell. • Destroy target blue permanent.

Masters 25 (A25) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Izzy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.