Reflecting Pool
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Reflecting Pool
Final zone distribution
1189 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jace, Multiverse Architect
261 decks
-
2
The Ur-Dragon
126 decks
-
3
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
53 decks
-
4
Sauron, the Dark Lord
53 decks
-
5
Kaalia of the Vast
51 decks
-
6
Jodah, the Unifier
49 decks
-
7
Edgar Markov
39 decks
-
8
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
35 decks
-
9
Tom Bombadil
30 decks
-
10
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
29 decks
The "good card" funnel
4897 brought · 1639 playersOnce cast, 95% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=727) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=2707).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=127).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.6pp; 95% confidence interval +0.6pp to +4.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.