Live Play Data

River Kelpie

· Creature — Beast · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

146

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=19

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

149 brought · 73 players

Brought to game

149

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.2pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=17) , vs 15% when it never left the library (n=79).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +18.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.2pp to +40.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

48 instances

2.1%

Library

27.1%

Battlefield

41.7%

Graveyard

8.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

River Kelpie

Creature — Beast

Whenever this creature or another permanent enters from a graveyard, draw a card. Whenever a player casts a spell from a graveyard, draw a card. Persist (When this creature dies, if it had no -1/-1 counters on it, return it to the battlefield under its owner's control with a -1/-1 counter on it.)

3 / 3

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Jeff Easley

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.