Live Play Data

River Kelpie

· Creature — Beast · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

383

Decks Running

183

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

52%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=46

15%

17%

50%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 15

On curve 35% (8 / 46 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

386 brought · 175 players

Brought to game

386

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.6pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=39) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=220).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 10% (n=39).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.9pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +25.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

121 instances

2.5%

Library

23.1%

Battlefield

47.1%

Graveyard

7.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Teval, the Balanced Scale 110 decks
2 Marchesa, the Black Rose 15 decks
3 Muldrotha, the Gravetide 13 decks
4 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 10 decks
5 Princess Yue 7 decks
6 Oskar, Rubbish Reclaimer 5 decks
7 Mirko, Obsessive Theorist 3 decks
8 Iroh, Grand Lotus 2 decks
9 Lier, Disciple of the Drowned 2 decks
10 Sauron, Lord of the Rings 2 decks

Card text

River Kelpie

Creature — Beast

Whenever this creature or another permanent enters from a graveyard, draw a card. Whenever a player casts a spell from a graveyard, draw a card. Persist (When this creature dies, if it had no -1/-1 counters on it, return it to the battlefield under its owner's control with a -1/-1 counter on it.)

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Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Jeff Easley

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.