Live Play Data

River of Tears

Land · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

579

Decks Running

293

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=125

22%

10%

18%

11%

10%

21%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 61%

The "good card" funnel

579 brought · 278 players

Brought to game

579

Ever drawn

150

Reached battlefield

125

Still on board at game end

118

Once cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.0pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=117) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=335).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 42% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.1pp; 95% confidence interval -5.0pp to +11.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

173 instances

2.9%

Library

68.2%

Battlefield

16.2%

Graveyard

3.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Captain N'ghathrod 66 decks
2 Davros, Dalek Creator 21 decks
3 Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver 21 decks
4 Mirko, Obsessive Theorist 20 decks
5 Alela, Cunning Conqueror 15 decks
6 Urza, Chief Artificer 12 decks
7 Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow 10 decks
8 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 9 decks
9 Satoru Umezawa 9 decks
10 Child of Alara 5 decks

Card text

River of Tears

Land

: Add

. If you played a land this turn, add {B}

instead.

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Chris J. Anderson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.