Riverglide Pathway // Lavaglide Pathway
6% of tracked Izzet-adjacent Commander decks on Playgroup Live run Riverglide Pathway. When drawn, 72% of copies are played before the game ends, with a median first-play turn of 4.0.
Riverglide Pathway is a modal dual-faced land from Zendikar Rising, giving Izzet (blue-red) decks a consistent, untapped source of either {U} or {R} on their schedule. Across 537 tracked multiplayer Commander games on Playgroup Live, it sits in 247 of 4257 distinct tracked decks, an inclusion rate of 6%.
The draw-to-play rate of 72% is the most actionable signal here. Lands are almost always played immediately when drawn, and this card is no exception. Half of drawn copies land on the same turn they are drawn, with a median of turn 4.0 for first play. The hand-to-cast average of just under one turn confirms players rarely hold it back. Once it hits the battlefield, 90% stickiness reflects that lands are almost never removed in Commander.
The dataset is well-spread across 236 unique players, with no single contributor accounting for more than a small slice of the sample. That breadth gives the numbers modest confidence as a directional read on how Izzet players actually build and sequence their mana bases in live play.
- 6% of tracked Commander decks include Riverglide Pathway
- 72% of drawn copies are played before the game ends
- T4.0 median first-play turn
- 90% battlefield stickiness once played
- 236 unique players have brought this card to a tracked game
- 112 total times played across all tracked games
First-cast turn
n=112The "good card" funnel
547 brought · 236 playersOf 547 copies brought to games, 155 were drawn, 112 of those were played, and 90% remained on the battlefield through the end of the game, consistent with the format's low land-removal rate.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=107) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=333).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 40% (n=40) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +0.2pp; 95% confidence interval -8.5pp to +9.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
174 instancesMost of the library-zone count comes from copies that were shuffled in and never reached a hand, the structural reality of a singleton land in a 100-card deck rather than a signal about the card's value once drawn.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
17 decks
-
2
Vivi Ornitier
11 decks
-
3
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
10 decks
-
4
Lynde, Cheerful Tormentor
7 decks
-
5
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
7 decks
-
6
Ovika, Enigma Goliath
7 decks
-
7
Magnus the Red
6 decks
-
8
Muddle, the Ever-Changing
6 decks
-
9
Okaun, Eye of Chaos
6 decks
-
10
The Emperor of Palamecia // The Lord Master of Hell
6 decks
The commander list spans a wide range of Izzet and Grixis strategies, with no single commander claiming a dominant share, reflecting broad mana-base adoption rather than narrow synergy play.