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Ruinous Ultimatum

· Sorcery · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

916

Decks Running

434

In Decks

2921

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Ruinous Ultimatum

Sorcery

Destroy all nonland permanents your opponents control.

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Rare · Illustrated by Chase Stone

Final zone distribution

235 instances

3.8%

Library

9.8%

Battlefield

43.8%

Graveyard

5.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Terra, Herald of Hope 68 decks
2 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 46 decks
3 Mr. House, President and CEO 45 decks
4 Kaalia of the Vast 33 decks
5 Isshin, Two Heavens as One 27 decks
6 Edgar Markov 26 decks
7 Queen Marchesa 21 decks
8 The Ur-Dragon 17 decks
9 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 12 decks
10 Jodah, Archmage Eternal 9 decks

The "good card" funnel

917 brought · 391 players

Brought to game

917

Ever drawn

197

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +4.6pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=85) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=579).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=92) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +14.7pp; 95% confidence interval +4.6pp to +24.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=93

65%

T6-9

27%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 16

On curve 38% (18 / 93 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 20%

93 of 100 times cast 93%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.