Live Play Data

Ruinous Ultimatum

· Sorcery · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

17%

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

2135

Decks Running

902

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=245

69%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 46% (57 / 245 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

2136 brought · 801 players

Brought to game

2136

Ever drawn

465

Reached battlefield

245

Still on board at game end

≥ +8.6pp

Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=222) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1367).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=191).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +14.9pp; 95% confidence interval +8.6pp to +21.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

548 instances

3.8%

Library

8.6%

Battlefield

47.1%

Graveyard

5.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Ruinous Ultimatum

Sorcery

Destroy all nonland permanents your opponents control.

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Rare · Illustrated by Chase Stone

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.