Live Play Data

Rust Elemental

· Artifact Creature — Elemental · Mirrodin (MRD)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

117

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

55%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=21

10%

19%

43%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 19% (2 / 21 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

117 brought · 60 players

Brought to game

117

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 33% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.7pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=21) , vs 13% when it never left the library (n=67).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 9% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.9pp; 95% confidence interval -9.7pp to +27.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

43 instances

16.3%

Battlefield

46.5%

Graveyard

7.0%

Exile

30.2%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Rust Elemental

Artifact Creature — Elemental

Flying At the beginning of your upkeep, sacrifice another artifact. If you can't, tap this creature and you lose 4 life.

4 / 4

Mirrodin (MRD) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Arnie Swekel

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.