Live Play Data

Sage of the Beyond

· Creature — Spirit Giant · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

178

Decks Running

104

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=28

11%

50%

T6-9

29%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 15

On curve 46% (2 / 28 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 17%

The "good card" funnel

178 brought · 102 players

Brought to game

178

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.5pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=26) , vs 16% when it never left the library (n=106).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 11% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +19.1pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +37.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

52 instances

26.9%

Battlefield

34.6%

Graveyard

26.9%

Exile

11.5%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 26 decks
2 Kellan, the Kid 14 decks
3 Bohn, Beguiling Balladeer 6 decks
4 Ranar the Ever-Watchful 6 decks
5 Bilbo, Thief in the Night 4 decks
6 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-Spider 4 decks
7 Ian Malcolm, Chaotician 4 decks
8 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 3 decks
9 Codie, Ravenous Codex 3 decks
10 Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius 3 decks

Card text

Sage of the Beyond

Creature — Spirit Giant

Flying Spells you cast from anywhere other than your hand cost {2}

less to cast. Foretell {4}

(During your turn, you may pay {2}

and exile this card from your hand face down. Cast it on a later turn for its foretell cost.)

5 / 5

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Cristi Balanescu

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.