Live Play Data

Sage of the Beyond

· Creature — Spirit Giant · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

255

Decks Running

133

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=48

13%

52%

T6-9

23%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 54% (6 / 48 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 17%

The "good card" funnel

255 brought · 128 players

Brought to game

255

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.0pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=44) , vs 15% when it never left the library (n=143).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 6% (n=28).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +18.1pp; 95% confidence interval +3.0pp to +33.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

87 instances

27.6%

Battlefield

34.5%

Graveyard

20.7%

Exile

17.2%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gonti, Canny Acquisitor 29 decks
2 Kellan, the Kid 21 decks
3 Ranar the Ever-Watchful 9 decks
4 Bohn, Beguiling Balladeer 6 decks
5 Gwen Stacy // Ghost-Spider 6 decks
6 Spider-Man 2099 6 decks
7 Bilbo, Thief in the Night 5 decks
8 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 4 decks
9 Ian Malcolm, Chaotician 4 decks
10 Karolina Dean, Runaway 4 decks

Card text

Sage of the Beyond

Creature — Spirit Giant

Flying Spells you cast from anywhere other than your hand cost {2}

less to cast. Foretell {4}

(During your turn, you may pay {2}

and exile this card from your hand face down. Cast it on a later turn for its foretell cost.)

5 / 5

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Cristi Balanescu

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.