Sapphire Medallion
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sapphire Medallion
Final zone distribution
433 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Urza, Lord High Artificer
33 decks
-
2
Orvar, the All-Form
26 decks
-
3
The Ur-Sphinx
23 decks
-
4
The Mindskinner
21 decks
-
5
Whtz, the Bibliophile
20 decks
-
6
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
19 decks
-
7
Eluge, the Shoreless Sea
18 decks
-
8
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
18 decks
-
9
Bruvac the Grandiloquent
15 decks
-
10
Baral, Chief of Compliance
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1579 brought · 626 playersOnce cast, 91% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=275) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=853).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=54).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -0.5pp; 95% confidence interval -3.9pp to +2.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.