collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Sawhorn Nemesis card art
Live Play Data

Sawhorn Nemesis

{3} {R} · Creature — Dinosaur · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
204
Decks Running
96
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
81%
Format

First-cast turn

n=38
0%
T1
0%
T2
11%
T3
8%
T4
21%
T5
50%
T6-9
11%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11
On curve 18% (3 / 38 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

The "good card" funnel

204 brought · 90 players
Brought to game
204
Ever drawn
47
Reached battlefield
38
Still on board at game end
21

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -8.1pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=36) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=134).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.0pp; 95% confidence interval -8.1pp to +24.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

52 instances
1.9%
Library
40.4%
Battlefield
32.7%
Graveyard
13.5%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Sawhorn Nemesis card

Sawhorn Nemesis

{3} {R}
Creature — Dinosaur
As this creature enters, choose a player. If a source would deal damage to the chosen player or a permanent they control, it deals double that damage instead.
2 / 4
Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Monztre

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.