Sculpting Steel
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sculpting Steel
Final zone distribution
119 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Szarekh, the Silent King
26 decks
- 2 Zhulodok, Void Gorger 21 decks
-
3
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
13 decks
-
4
Iron Man, Titan of Innovation
11 decks
-
5
Imotekh the Stormlord
9 decks
- 6 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 9 decks
- 7 Karn, Legacy Reforged 8 decks
-
8
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
7 decks
-
9
Mendicant Core, Guidelight
7 decks
-
10
Urtet, Remnant of Memnarch
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
530 brought · 237 playersOnce cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=65) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=326).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=22) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +1.7pp; 95% confidence interval -4.9pp to +8.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=82Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.