bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
collections_bookmark
Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
·
Creature — Spirit
·
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
Card Preview
Seedborn Muse
4%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
537
Decks Running
298
In Decks
3009
Decklist Inclusion
4%
Format
Final zone distribution
140 instances2.1%
Library
34.3%
Battlefield
25.0%
Graveyard
6.4%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Felothar the Steadfast
25 decks
-
2
Kenrith, the Returned King
14 decks
-
3
Baylen, the Haymaker
12 decks
-
4
The Unbeatable Squirrel Girl
12 decks
-
5
Ms. Bumbleflower
11 decks
-
6
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
10 decks
-
7
Lathril, Blade of the Elves
8 decks
-
8
Kibo, Uktabi Prince
7 decks
-
9
Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait
5 decks
-
10
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
537 brought · 244 playersBrought to game
537
Ever drawn
131
Reached battlefield
79
Still on board at game end
48
Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -2.9pp
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=78) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=378).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=48) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +6.7pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +16.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=79
0%
T1
0%
T2
5%
T3
10%
T4
19%
T5
44%
T6-9
22%
T10+
Median
7
P25
5
· P75
9
· max
18
On curve
34%
(15 / 79 cast on T5)
Cast same turn as drawn
48%
79 of 100 times cast
79%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.