Shard of the Nightbringer
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Shard of the Nightbringer
Final zone distribution
100 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Szarekh, the Silent King
109 decks
-
2
Imotekh the Stormlord
27 decks
-
3
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
18 decks
-
4
Marvo, Deep Operative
12 decks
-
5
The Infamous Cruelclaw
8 decks
-
6
Trazyn the Infinite
7 decks
-
7
Baron Helmut Zemo
6 decks
-
8
Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose
6 decks
-
9
Anrakyr the Traveller
4 decks
-
10
Gwenom, Remorseless
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
422 brought · 234 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=52) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=283).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=32).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +13.1pp; 95% confidence interval +6.4pp to +19.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.