Live Play Data

Shoot the Sheriff

· Instant · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

311

Decks Running

150

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

88%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=70

10%

56%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 1% (1 / 70 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 32%

The "good card" funnel

311 brought · 126 players

Brought to game

311

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.7pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=66) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=191).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.4pp; 95% confidence interval -6.7pp to +15.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

87 instances

4.6%

Library

5.7%

Battlefield

71.3%

Graveyard

11.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Shoot the Sheriff

Instant

Destroy target non-outlaw creature. (Assassins, Mercenaries, Pirates, Rogues, and Warlocks are outlaws. Everyone else is fair game.)

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Fariba Khamseh

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.