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Smaug the Magnificent card art
Live Play Data

Smaug the Magnificent

{2} {R} {R} · Legendary Creature — Dragon · The Hobbit (HOB)
2%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
313
Decks Running
140
Median Cast Turn
5.5
Drawn → Played
73%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=48
4%
T1
8%
T2
8%
T3
21%
T4
8%
T5
42%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median 5.5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12
On curve 42% (10 / 48 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 41%

The "good card" funnel

314 brought · 128 players
Brought to game
314
Ever drawn
66
Reached battlefield
48
Still on board at game end
48

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -12.0pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=38) , vs 34% when it never left the library (n=164).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.5pp; 95% confidence interval -12.0pp to +19.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

112 instances
2.7%
Library
42.9%
Battlefield
17.9%
Graveyard
10.7%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Smaug the Magnificent card

Smaug the Magnificent

{2} {R} {R}
Legendary Creature — Dragon
Flying, haste Whenever Smaug attacks, he deals damage equal to the number of Treasures you control to any target. At the beginning of your upkeep, create a Treasure token.
4 / 3
The Hobbit (HOB) · Mythic · Illustrated by Francisco Miyara

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.