Smile at Death
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Smile at Death
Final zone distribution
58 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Felothar the Steadfast
28 decks
-
2
Doran, Besieged by Time
10 decks
-
3
Syr Vondam, Sunstar Exemplar
8 decks
-
4
Betor, Kin to All
7 decks
-
5
Quintorius, History Chaser
7 decks
-
6
Duskana, the Rage Mother
5 decks
-
7
Celes, Rune Knight
4 decks
-
8
Mabel, Heir to Cragflame
4 decks
-
9
Sythis, Harvest's Hand
3 decks
-
10
Zabaz, the Glimmerwasp
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
287 brought · 119 playersOnce cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=21) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=182).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.8pp; 95% confidence interval -9.7pp to +13.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.