Smoldering Marsh
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Smoldering Marsh
Final zone distribution
982 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
197 decks
-
2
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
90 decks
-
3
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
85 decks
-
4
Auntie Ool, Cursewretch
81 decks
-
5
Sauron, the Dark Lord
75 decks
-
6
Terra, Herald of Hope
72 decks
-
7
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
64 decks
-
8
Leonardo, the Balance
58 decks
-
9
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
44 decks
-
10
Edgar Markov
33 decks
The "good card" funnel
3969 brought · 1516 playersOnce cast, 96% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=589) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=2206).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=90).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +3.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.