Smothering Tithe
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
274 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
25 decks
-
2
Giada, Font of Hope
23 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
20 decks
-
4
Mr. House, President and CEO
12 decks
-
5
Grand Arbiter Augustin IV
11 decks
-
6
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
10 decks
-
7
Kenrith, the Returned King
10 decks
-
8
Marneus Calgar
10 decks
-
9
The First Sliver
9 decks
-
10
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1258 brought · 406 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=159) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=842).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=74) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -3.4pp to +4.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=171Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.