Sterling Grove
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sterling Grove
Final zone distribution
150 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Go-Shintai of Life's Origin
45 decks
-
2
Tom Bombadil
35 decks
-
3
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
21 decks
-
4
Sythis, Harvest's Hand
20 decks
-
5
Terra, Magical Adept // Esper Terra
17 decks
-
6
Hei Bai, Forest Guardian
13 decks
-
7
Marina Vendrell
13 decks
-
8
Tuvasa the Sunlit
11 decks
-
9
Yuna, Hope of Spira
11 decks
-
10
Myrkul, Lord of Bones
10 decks
The "good card" funnel
544 brought · 287 playersOnce cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=88) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=295).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +8.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.