Live Play Data

Strix Serenade

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

612

Decks Running

341

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=84

12%

21%

43%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 18

On curve 0% (0 / 84 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 19%

The "good card" funnel

612 brought · 302 players

Brought to game

612

Ever drawn

160

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -2.2pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=77) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=374).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=68).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.2pp; 95% confidence interval -2.2pp to +18.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

183 instances

1.1%

Library

2.2%

Battlefield

54.1%

Graveyard

7.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Choco, Seeker of Paradise 15 decks
2 Sauron, the Dark Lord 14 decks
3 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 11 decks
4 Arcades, the Strategist 7 decks
5 Whtz, the Bibliophile 7 decks
6 Eluge, the Shoreless Sea 6 decks
7 Hakbal of the Surging Soul 6 decks
8 Namor the Sub-Mariner 6 decks
9 Sisay, Weatherlight Captain 6 decks
10 Urza, Lord High Artificer 6 decks

Card text

Strix Serenade

Instant

Counter target artifact, creature, or planeswalker spell. Its controller creates a 2/2 blue Bird creature token with flying.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Filipe Pagliuso

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.