collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Stump Stomp // Burnwillow Clearing card art
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Stump Stomp // Burnwillow Clearing

Sorcery // Land · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
122
Decks Running
72
In Decks
736
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

35 instances
2.9%
Library
31.4%
Battlefield
42.9%
Graveyard
22.9%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

123 brought · 78 players
Brought to game
123
Ever drawn
31
Reached battlefield
23
Still on board at game end
11

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -21.1pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=23) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=85).

Observed gap -3.1pp; 95% confidence interval -21.1pp to +14.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23
22%
T1
9%
T2
0%
T3
13%
T4
13%
T5
43%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 9
On curve 30% (2 / 23 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%
23 of 100 times cast 23%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.