Sulfur Falls
Sulfur Falls appears in 43% of tracked Commander decks and reaches the battlefield 94% of the time once played, with a median first-cast turn of 3 across 1228 tracked games.
Sulfur Falls sits in 43% of the Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live, making it one of the more consistent dual-land choices for any deck touching blue and red. The card appears in 763 of the 1789 distinct decks that have played a live tracked game.
The key behavioral number is draw-to-play: 79% of drawn copies were played before the game ended. Median first play lands on turn 3, with a wide spread from turn 1 through turn 8 at the 90th percentile. Once it hits the battlefield, it stays there 94% of the time. That stickiness is expected for a land with no activated sacrifice ability, but it confirms Sulfur Falls rarely runs into removal.
The commander distribution is broad. 589 distinct players have brought Sulfur Falls to a tracked game, and no single player accounts for more than 2% of all instances. That spread gives the numbers a solid cross-meta foundation rather than reflecting any one player's habits. The card sees play across Izzet, Grixis, and Jeskai commanders, consistent with its blue-red color identity covering the overlap between those archetypes.
- 43% of tracked Commander decks include Sulfur Falls
- T3 median first-play turn across all tracked games
- 79% of drawn copies were played before the game ended
- 94% battlefield stickiness once Sulfur Falls enters play
- 589 distinct players have brought this card to a tracked game
- 26% draw rate, in line with singleton odds in a 100-card deck
First-cast turn
n=295The "good card" funnel
1442 brought · 589 playersOf 1442 Sulfur Falls copies brought to games, 375 were drawn, 295 of those were played, and the overwhelming majority stayed on the battlefield through the end of the game.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=290) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=949).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=75) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +6.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
418 instancesMost Sulfur Falls copies finish on the battlefield, which is structurally unusual compared to the typical singleton that never leaves the library. It reflects a land that gets played early and then simply stays in play for the rest of the game.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
43 decks
-
2
Rootha, Mastering the Moment
38 decks
-
3
Captain America, Team Leader
36 decks
-
4
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
27 decks
-
5
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
22 decks
-
6
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
21 decks
-
7
Sauron, the Dark Lord
18 decks
-
8
Fire Lord Azula
17 decks
-
9
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
17 decks
-
10
Vivi Ornitier
16 decks
Doctor Doom, Rootha, and Captain America each appear in roughly 33 to 38 tracked decks, a distribution that spans Izzet, Grixis, and Jeskai commanders and shows Sulfur Falls earns its slot across the blue-red overlap rather than clustering in any single archetype.