Sulfur Falls
Sulfur Falls appears in 41% of tracked Commander decks in its color identity, with 78% of drawn copies reaching the battlefield and a median first-cast turn of 3.
Sulfur Falls shows up in 41% of the Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live, making it a reliable fixture in blue-red and Grixis shells. Across 710 tracked games, it has been brought to the table 826 times and cast 165 times.
As a conditional dual land, Sulfur Falls enters untapped only when you already control an Island or a Mountain. In practice that condition is met often enough that 78% of drawn copies are played before the game ends, with a median first play on turn 3. The mode of the cast-turn distribution is turn 2, which is consistent with players opening it alongside a basic and laying it untapped early. 90% of cast copies finish the game still on the battlefield, reflecting the straightforward permanence of lands in Commander.
The broader deck-inclusion signal from tracked decklist data sits at 9.1% of all decks with red and blue in their identity, a sober reminder that Sulfur Falls competes with a deep bench of dual lands. Players who bring it tend to be running Izzet or Grixis commanders, with Rootha, Mastering the Moment leading the field by a wide margin.
- 41% of tracked Commander decks in its color identity include Sulfur Falls
- T3 median first-cast turn, with a cluster as early as turn 2
- 78% of drawn copies are played before the game ends
- 90% battlefield stickiness once played
- 383 distinct players have brought Sulfur Falls to a tracked game
- 26% draw rate per game it is included in, typical for a singleton land
First-cast turn
n=165The "good card" funnel
826 brought · 383 playersOf 826 Sulfur Falls copies brought to games, 212 were drawn, 165 of those were played, and 90% of played copies remained on the battlefield at game's end.
Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=165) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=554).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=43) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -8.3pp to +5.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
239 instancesThe vast majority of Sulfur Falls copies that were never interacted with stay in the library all game, a structural fact of 100-card singleton. Of the copies that were observed, most finished on the battlefield.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Rootha, Mastering the Moment
26 decks
-
2
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
17 decks
-
3
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
17 decks
-
4
Captain America, Team Leader
15 decks
-
5
Doctor Doom, King of Latveria
13 decks
-
6
Fire Lord Azula
11 decks
-
7
Sauron, the Dark Lord
11 decks
-
8
Ureni of the Unwritten
10 decks
-
9
Kilo, Apogee Mind
9 decks
-
10
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
9 decks
Rootha, Mastering the Moment anchors the top-commander list with a lead over the field, but Sulfur Falls spreads across Izzet, Grixis, and Jeskai commanders, reflecting its broad color-identity fit.