Sunbaked Canyon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sunbaked Canyon
Final zone distribution
167 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Winota, Joiner of Forces
26 decks
-
2
Edgar Markov
23 decks
-
3
The Tenth Doctor
18 decks
-
4
Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements
15 decks
-
5
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
13 decks
-
6
Mr. House, President and CEO
13 decks
-
7
Kaalia of the Vast
9 decks
-
8
Lightning, Army of One
9 decks
-
9
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
9 decks
-
10
Sonic the Hedgehog
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
759 brought · 322 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=100) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=442).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=17).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -4.0pp to +6.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.