Tamiyo's Journal
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Tamiyo's Journal
Final zone distribution
62 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds
11 decks
-
2
Cecily, Haunted Mage
8 decks
-
3
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
8 decks
-
4
Lonis, Cryptozoologist
6 decks
-
5
Brudiclad, Telchor Engineer
5 decks
-
6
Sophia, Dogged Detective
5 decks
-
7
Lonis, Genetics Expert
4 decks
-
8
Teysa, Opulent Oligarch
3 decks
-
9
Tivit, Seller of Secrets
3 decks
-
10
Wernog, Rider's Chaplain
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
266 brought · 122 playersOnce cast, 84% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 20% of the time (n=31) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=168).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=20).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.9pp; 95% confidence interval -7.5pp to +11.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.