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Tavern Swindler card art
Live Play Data

Tavern Swindler

{1} {B} · Creature — Human Rogue · Streets of New Capenna (SNC)
0%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
104
Decks Running
40
Median Cast Turn
3
Drawn → Played
90%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=27
19%
T1
22%
T2
11%
T3
11%
T4
0%
T5
19%
T6-9
19%
T10+
Median 3 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14
On curve 41% (6 / 27 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 48%

The "good card" funnel

104 brought · 38 players
Brought to game
104
Ever drawn
30
Reached battlefield
27
Still on board at game end
12

Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -22.5pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=22) , vs 35% when it never left the library (n=61).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.4pp; 95% confidence interval -22.5pp to +23.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

36 instances
2.8%
Library
33.3%
Battlefield
36.1%
Graveyard
19.4%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Tavern Swindler card

Tavern Swindler

{1} {B}
Creature — Human Rogue
{T}, Pay 3 life: Flip a coin. If you win the flip, you gain 6 life.
2 / 2
Streets of New Capenna (SNC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Pauline Voss

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.