Live Play Data

Tempt with Mayhem

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

321

Decks Running

160

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

49%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=38

13%

76%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 10

On curve 0% (0 / 38 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 41%

The "good card" funnel

321 brought · 151 players

Brought to game

321

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -9.6pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=35) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=185).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.0pp; 95% confidence interval -9.6pp to +21.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

98 instances

5.1%

Library

2.0%

Battlefield

51.0%

Graveyard

13.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Tempt with Mayhem

Instant

Tempting offer — Choose target instant or sorcery spell. Each opponent may copy that spell and may choose new targets for the copy they control. You copy that spell once plus an additional time for each opponent who copied the spell this way. You may choose new targets for the copies you control.

Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Deruchenko Alexander

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.