bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
·
Creature — Merfolk Wizard
·
Theros Beyond Death (THB)
Card Preview
Thassa's Oracle
·
Creature — Merfolk Wizard
·
Theros Beyond Death (THB)
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
173
Decks Running
98
In Decks
1399
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
71 instances1.4%
Library
36.6%
Battlefield
12.7%
Graveyard
12.7%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Flubs, the Fool
5 decks
-
2
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
4 decks
-
3
Kenrith, the Returned King
3 decks
-
4
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
3 decks
-
5
Atraxa, Grand Unifier
2 decks
-
6
Berta, Wise Extrapolator
2 decks
-
7
Grolnok, the Omnivore
2 decks
-
8
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
2 decks
-
9
Mm'menon, the Right Hand
2 decks
-
10
Najeela, the Blade-Blossom
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
173 brought · 87 playersBrought to game
173
Ever drawn
59
Reached battlefield
33
Still on board at game end
26
Once cast, 79% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +8.6pp
Players who cast this card win 49% of the time (n=32) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=93).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=26) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +26.0pp; 95% confidence interval +8.6pp to +43.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=33
0%
T1
3%
T2
6%
T3
21%
T4
18%
T5
42%
T6-9
9%
T10+
Median
6
P25
4
· P75
8
· max
14
On curve
3%
(1 / 33 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
38%
33 of 100 times cast
33%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.