bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
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Creature — Merfolk Wizard
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Theros Beyond Death (THB)
Live Play Data
Thassa's Oracle
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Creature — Merfolk Wizard
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Theros Beyond Death (THB)
4%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
2095
Decks Running
921
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
56%
Format
First-cast turn
n=437
1%
T1
5%
T2
10%
T3
13%
T4
16%
T5
45%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median
6
P25
4
· P75
8
· max
18
On curve
6%
(23 / 437 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
46%
The "good card" funnel
2101 brought · 772 playersBrought to game
2101
Ever drawn
779
Reached battlefield
437
Still on board at game end
316
Once cast, 72% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +28.9pp
Players who cast this card win 55% of the time (n=385) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=1011).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=312).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +34.0pp; 95% confidence interval +28.9pp to +39.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
881 instances3.4%
Library
35.9%
Battlefield
18.7%
Graveyard
9.4%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
31 decks
-
2
Tymna the Weaver
30 decks
-
3
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
27 decks
-
4
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
27 decks
-
5
Marneus Calgar
25 decks
-
6
Flubs, the Fool
22 decks
-
7
Urza, Lord High Artificer
20 decks
-
8
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
18 decks
-
9
Kraum, Ludevic's Opus
17 decks
-
10
Vnwxt, Verbose Host
14 decks
Card text
Thassa's Oracle
Creature — Merfolk Wizard
When this creature enters, look at the top X cards of your library, where X is your devotion to blue. Put up to one of them on top of your library and the rest on the bottom of your library in a random order. If X is greater than or equal to the number of cards in your library, you win the game. (Each in the mana costs of permanents you control counts toward your devotion to blue.)
in the mana costs of permanents you control counts toward your devotion to blue.)1 / 3
Theros Beyond Death (THB)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Jesper Ejsing
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.