The Aetherspark
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Aetherspark
Final zone distribution
115 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
T'Challa, the Black Panther
13 decks
-
2
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
12 decks
-
3
Kratos, God of War
10 decks
-
4
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
9 decks
-
5
Captain America, First Avenger
8 decks
-
6
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary
8 decks
-
7
Kotis, the Fangkeeper
8 decks
-
8
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
6 decks
-
9
Blor the Impervious
5 decks
-
10
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
574 brought · 233 playersOnce cast, 84% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=52) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=319).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=34).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +4.2pp; 95% confidence interval -3.0pp to +11.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.