The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Arkenstone
Seek the Heart
Final zone distribution
49 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
40 decks
-
2
Dáin of the Ancient Halls
10 decks
-
3
Bard, King of Dale
5 decks
-
4
Toph, the First Metalbender
5 decks
-
5
Aragorn, the Uniter
4 decks
-
6
Bifur, Melodic Rider
4 decks
-
7
Darien, King of Kjeldor
3 decks
-
8
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
3 decks
-
9
Gandalf, Party Guest
3 decks
-
10
Thorin Oakenshield
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
295 brought · 139 playersOnce cast, 69% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=20) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=161).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=15).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.7pp; 95% confidence interval -10.2pp to +13.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.