The Black Gate
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Black Gate
Final zone distribution
174 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, the Dark Lord
89 decks
-
2
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
53 decks
-
3
Saruman, the White Hand
13 decks
-
4
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
10 decks
-
5
Lord of the Nazgûl
10 decks
-
6
Magar of the Magic Strings
8 decks
-
7
The Infamous Cruelclaw
7 decks
-
8
Ardbert, Warrior of Darkness
6 decks
-
9
Betor, Ancestor's Voice
6 decks
-
10
Child of Alara
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
634 brought · 286 playersOnce cast, 99% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=107) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=339).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=20).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.7pp; 95% confidence interval -1.7pp to +9.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.